ИНТЕЛРОС > №2, 2016 > Региональные конфликты в Восточной Азии: роль Китая

Д.Ф. Грегг
Региональные конфликты в Восточной Азии: роль Китая

20 мая 2016

The rise of China has raised more questions than answers regarding confl ict probability, confl ict resolution and the future of the security architecture in the East Asian region. Territorial disputes in the South China Sea, as well as historical periods of confl ict between China and other Asian actors, have already complicated the relationship between states in the region. In what ways has the rise of China changed the regional security architecture of the East Asian system and what events are corollary to such new paradigm shift? What aspects determine China’s role and the extent of China’s infl uence in regional confl icts? Clearly, the rise of China has fundamentally shifted the security paradigm in the East Asian system away from the US dominated system, to a system of growing multilateral integration, utilizing various institutions such as free trade agreements and security dialog platforms.1 The rising political, economic and military infl uence of China will give it license to be more assertive in regional confl icts, a variable for increased confl ict likelihood. However, in reaction to this power shift, the region itself is further integrating and deferring open confl ict in preference of mutual security cooperation as means of strengthening positions over security concerns. Thusly, with the rise of China, it has been shown that even nations with competing economic pursuits and territorial claims can participate in a single, albeit loosely binding, security structure

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