The Danger of False Peril: Avoiding Threat Inflation
As his advisors deliberated during the Cuban Missile Crisis, President John F. Kennedy believed that the chance of war with the Soviet Union was “between one in three and even.” Even if the President’s estimation was overly pessimistic, the fact that a leader would choose to initiate a crisis while believing there was such a high risk of a nuclear exchange is a most sobering thought. Some estimated that the number of dead resulting from a nuclear exchange between the superpowers could have exceeded 200 million people. |
20 декабря 2016
Predicting the Proliferation of Cyber Weapons into Small States
Recent analysis of cyber warfare has been dominated by works focused on the challenges and opportunities it presents to the conventional military dominance of the United States. This was aptly demonstrated by the 2015 assessment from the Director of National Intelligence, who named cyber threats as the number one strategic issue facing the United States |
20 декабря 2016
Fast Followers, Learning Machines, and the Third Offset Strategy
Captain Brent D. Sadler, USN, is a Special Assistant to the Navy Asia-Pacific Advisory Group. |
20 декабря 2016
