Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs
Institute for National Strategic Studies

China’s Forbearance Has Limits: Chinese Threat and Retaliation Signaling and Its Implications for a SinoAmerican Military Confrontation
by Paul H.B. GODWIN and Alice L. MILLER

Пауль ГОДВИН и Элис МИЛЛЕР
Сдержанность Китая имеет границы: китайская риторика угроз и ответных шагов и ее последствия для китайско-американской военной конфронтации.

Although China’s military capabilities are continuing to improve and its standing and involvement in the world have changed quite dramatically, this study concludes that the traditional calculus of threat and retaliation statements remains a central tool in Beijing’s array of foreign policy and security instruments for responding to and managing tensions and disputes.