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Risk Management of Future Foreign Conflict Intervention

Military intervention in any future foreign conflict is a diligent exercise in risk management. There is no guarantee either of satisfaction with the military outcome or with the postconflict regime. As budgets are tightened across the Western Alliance, the risk management of future conflict intervention might adopt principles of the corporate approach to managing highly uncertain major risks. A review of risk management methods is presented with the purpose of showing the widespread potential for their application to the domain of foreign conflict intervention

15 января 2013

Adaptive Leadership in Times of Crisis

Leadership is undergoing a profound transformation in our interdependent world. The dispersal of knowledge, the rise of new media, and declining faith in existing power structures have all had profound implications for what it means to be a leader. Traditional top-down power structures have been challenged both in geopolitical terms and in the corporate world. The velocity of decisionmaking—and message management—in crisis situations has accelerated. For example, a decade ago, the media expected authorities to issue guidance on an unfolding crisis within 24 hours; now, the window for dominating the information space has shrunk to a matter of minutes. Some important insights can be gleaned from the aftermath of last year’s Great East Japan Earthquake and 2005’s Hurricane Katrina. The importance of rapid, transparent communication and adaptive leadership models based on networks of empowered individuals is needed. Overall, the gap between public and private sector leaders must be bridged to improve communication and encourage new partnerships to tackle today’s complex, interconnected risks

15 января 2013

Chinese Organized Crime in Latin America

This study focuses on organized crime ties between China and Latin America associated with expanding commercial and human contact between the PRC and the region. A review of open source data and interviews with subject matter experts in Latin America find evidence of such ties in four areas: (1) extortion of Chinese communities in Latin America by groups with ties to China, (2) trafficking in persons from China through Latin America to ultimately smuggle Chinese expatriates into the United States or Canada, (3) trafficking in narcotics and precursor chemicals, and (4) trafficking in contraband goods. It also finds evidence of modest levels of activities that could become significant in two other areas, arms trafficking and money laundering.

15 января 2013

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