Журнальный клуб Интелрос » Joint Force Quarterly » №58, 2010
Timothy J. Junio and Jonathan Protz
Reorienting Grand Strategy: The Promise of Single-equilibrium Defense Planning
Since the end of the Cold War, the U.S. defense community has focused its futures analysis on a “range of possible outcomes” approach. Planners assume that social behavior, such as that of states in the international system or individuals in markets, is so complex that it defies point prediction.